We have a small four-game slate of hockey Friday with some entertaining matchups. Despite the small slate, there are a few good betting angles to attack as I give out my two best bets below.
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Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Washington Capitals (-390) @ Arizona Coyotes (+300), o/u 6 (-120/+100)
The Metropolitan Division’s fourth-place Washington Capitals travel to Arizona to take on the Central Division’s eighth-place Coyotes. In a game suspected to be a blowout, there is no reason not to back the Capitals in this one.
Arizona enters this contest in awful form as they have now lost eight straight games and nine of their last 10. The Coyotes can not stop the puck as opposing teams have scored five or more goals in eight of those nine losses.
This season, the Coyotes now rank dead-last in the league in five-on-five expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA). Karel Vejmelka is the projected starting goaltender for the Coyotes and has been in horrible form recently.
Vejmelka has allowed five or more goals in four of his last five starts, posting a troubling 0.858 save percentage. Washington is more than capable of putting up a crooked number against terrible teams, as they scored eight goals against Montreal on Saturday and nine goals against Philadelphia last Tuesday.
Best Bet: Washington Capitals TT o4.5 (+140)
Seattle Kraken (+240) @ Minnesota Wild (-300), o/u 6 (-110/-110)
The Pacific Division’s eighth-place Seattle Kraken travel to Minnesota to take on the Central Division’s second-place Wild. Minnesota won the last meeting between these two teams 4-2, and I expect to see a similar result this time around.
Despite Seattle entering this contest on a three-game win streak, all those wins were on home ice. Seattle is much worse away from home as they are just 11-23-3 this season on the road.
As a road underdog over their last 14 games, the Kraken is just 3-11. Of those 11 losses, eight have been by at least a two-goal margin.
On the flip side, Minnesota has won 14 of their last 18 before Thursday. Of those 14 wins, nine have been by at least a two-goal margin.
Philipp Grubauer is the projected starting goaltender for the Kraken and should be a great fade candidate in this matchup. Grubauer is 6-14-2 with a 0.888 save percentage on the road this season.
Amongst starting goaltenders this season, Grubauer ranks dead-last in five-on-five goals saved above expected per 60 minutes (GSAx). Across the ice, we can expect to see Marc-Andre Fleury in the crease for the Wild.
Since getting traded to Minnesota, Fleury is 6-1 with a 0.921 save percentage. In his two starts against Seattle this season, Fleury has stopped 66 of 70 shot attempts for a stellar 0.943 save percentage.
Not only does Minnesota have the goaltending edge, but their skaters will also have a big advantage in this game. This season, Minnesota ranks higher than Seattle in both five-on-five expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF) and five-on-five expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA).
Best Bet: Minnesota Wild -1.5 (-115)
Best of luck!
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