Hopefully, the Easter bunny gave you a ton of treats, especially those plastic eggs with the money so you can use it to make some wagers on today’s games. We take a look at one concluding series, but also two division matchups will start, including one that looks like could be a tight race between these throughout the season.
(Odds courtesy DraftKings)
Minnesota Twins (+120) vs. Boston Red Sox (-140) O/U 9 (First Pitch 11:10 a.m. ET)
Today is one of the best traditions in baseball and that’s Patriot Day in Boston. The city comes alive with the Patriots Day parade, the running of the Boston Marathon, and of course, a late morning matinee at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox have started to get their offensive motors running and helping win games. They’ve won four of their last five, scoring five or more runs in three.
They send Rich Hill to the mound coming off an okay start giving up three earned in 4.1 innings in the no-decision. At 42, he’s not going to overpower a hitter, but he’s become very crafty with mixing his pitches, and his breaking ball has become swing and miss material.
The Twins are offensively heading in the opposite direction. They’ve lost four of their last five, scoring two runs or fewer in four and shut out twice. It is not good for the Twins as they’re currently 28th in batting average (.187) and a last in strikeout ratio (29.2%). The swing and miss material Hill was throwing will help him tremendously in this start.
The Twins will need another brilliant performance from Dylan Bundy, who pitched five shutout innings, allowing one hit against the Mariners. His track record coming this game should be cautionary — he is 2-5 with a 5.44 ERA in 10 career games at Fenway and struggled on the road overall last year, going 1-5 with a 5.44 ERA.
As the Red Sox bats get hot, they should be able to take advantage of a pitcher that shows he can’t pitch on the road against a struggling offense.
Leg: 1 Red Sox ML
Chicago White Sox (+160) vs. Cleveland Guardians (-120) O/U 8 (First Pitch 6:10 p.m.)
Chicago is where we were expecting them to be, which is first in the AL Central. The favorites going into 2022, and the only team in the division that finished above .500 last year, are again in that situation.
The White Sox are sending up Dallas Keuchel, who’s coming off the worse year with a career-high 5.28 ERA. In his first start, he pitched well in the first four innings, but he was knocked around for two runs in the fifth.
How Keuchal will fare might depend on which Guardians offense he’ll see. Cleveland’s offense has been hot and cold to start the season after scoring just one run in their first two games, then scored 44 runs in their next four games, then came back down to earth scoring four while being swept at home against San Fransisco.
The Guardians will send up Triston McKenzie, who made a relief appearance and a start this season. His start against Cincinnati was excellent as he pitched four shutout innings allowing three runs. His history with WHite Sxx is not so good, as he’s allowed 22 runs in 17.2 innings.
While this pitching matchup is not stellar, the trends and conditions could stifle the offense. Five of the last six matchups between these two teams have not gone over eight runs, and Cleveland is hitting just 234 with a .359 slugging percentage against lefties this year. The forecast is calling cold and rainy conditions that will lead you to believe it will be a sloppy game.
Leg 2: Under 8
Los Angeles Angels (+140) vs. Houston Astros (-160)
The Astros and Angels will meet in a three-game series as they’re just half of a game apart in the standings. After some early struggles, the Angels are getting into a groove by winning five of their last six. Both the hitting and pitching are rolling as they’ve scored four or more runs in six straight and have allowed three or fewer runs in four of their last six.
Michael Lorenzen is one of those guys in the rotation pitching well as he allowed just one run on two hits and struck out seven in six innings in his first start against Miami. This is his first year in Los Angeles, meaning he’ll see opponents unfamiliar with him and always favors the pitcher. Michael Brantley has seen him the most with four at-bats.
The Houston offense has yet to find its groove offensively. Going into this matchup, they are 22nd in batting average (.215) and 21st in runs per game (3.63). The core of their lineup is just on a cold streak that is impacting everyone—Kyle Tucker is hitting .121, Jose Altuve is at .156, and Alex Bregman has just one hit in his last 16 at-bats.
They will need another solid start from Luis Garcia, who pitched four allowing just two hits and no runs against Arizona. It will be a stark difference facing the offense in the Diamondbacks to an Angels team with success against Garica. Coming into this game, Shohei Ohtani has two home runs in 12 at-bats against Gracia, Jared Walsh also has two home runs in 11 at-bats, and Brandon Marsh has three hits in six at-bats. You have to love the Angels starting this series with a win.
Leg 3: Angels ML
Total parlay odds on DraftKings: +654
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