Every Friday, a new series begins for most teams in the MLB. It’s always exciting to see new matchups and different teams playing one another. It’s also fun to capitalize on different matchups before bookmakers can adjust. There are some lines that I’m seeing right now that I’m capitalizing on immediately.
Here are my best bets for April 29 in the MLB.
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Moneyline (-140)
How many times are we going to see the Boston Red Sox be short favorites against the Baltimore Orioles? The Orioles will send ut Kyle Bradish who will make his first MLB start of his career tonight.
With Norfolk, this season, he’s 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA in three games started. He’s striking out 10.2 batters per nine innings and walking just 1.8 batters per nine innings.
But this is the big leagues. It doesn’t get any easier and the Red Sox have a very solid lineup against righties with a .191 ISO and wOBA of .319. With the veteran Rich Hill on the mound, I expect the Red Sox to get by against a bad Baltimore Orioles team.
Bet: Red Sox ML (-135 at DraftKings)
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays Total (8.5, -105)
Yusei Kikuchi has a 6.52 xFIP this season with 15.8% strikeouts and 17.5% walks. He’s literally walking more batters than striking out this season. The left-hander has also struggled against righties, allowing a .386 wOBA and ISO of .212 in 43 plate appearances. In the Astros lineup, you’ll see six righties and three lefties who can also hit for power against lefties. The Astros are dangerous.
Meanwhile, Jose Urquidy will take the mound for the Astros. The right-hander has struggled against righties, giving up a .409 wOBA and ISO of .278. The Blue Jays have five righties that can do damage including George Springer and Vlad Guerrero Jr.
Runs should ultimately be scored in this game.
Bet: Over 8.5 (-105 at DraftKings)
Braves F5 Moneyline (-150)
The Atlanta Braves have smashed righties this season with a .180 ISO and .340 wOBA using the projected lineup. The Braves will likely take on Garrett Richards and then Spencer Howard in the first five innings. Those are two underwhelming pitchers dating back to last season.
Ronald Acuna Jr. may or may not be in the lineup. But overall, just think about it this way. If Acuna is in the lineup, the Braves get even better offensively for this game against two subpar righties.
Meanwhile, Ian Anderson will get the call for the Braves. While he’s struggled a bit against lefties, the Rangers’ offense has been absolutely non=exsistent against righties to start the season.
The projected lineup has a .086 ISO and wOBA of .254 against righties. That’s not going to cut it. Take the Braves.
Bet: Braves F5 (-150 at DraftKings)
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