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Lemonado •theBetInvestor

Overview:

Professional Football Tipster since 17th January 2021.

Lemonado has produced a very good 15% ROI with 12 profitable months from 14 total months tipping – a 86% success rate.

On average there are 5 tips per day typically advised at an average 10 points which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £50 per day.

Skill Factor: VERY HIGH

Lemonado‘s statistical p-value is 0.0000 ( to 4 decimal places ). This indicates there’s a 0% probability these results could be achieved by pure chance.This figure is extremely low. There is very strong evidence of skill being applied here.

Losing Streaks: SHORT

The all-time tip Win Rate has been 50% over 14 months and 2167 tips which gives a low ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run) figure of 12 – you should be prepared for 12 losing tips in a row.

Based on this you should anticipate encountering the following longest losing runs:

  • Over the next month: At least one run of 7 losing tips.
  • Over the next 3 months: At least one run of 8 losing tips.
  • Over the next 6 months: At least one run of 10 losing tips.

Risk: LOW

Lemonado‘s performance is stable which means risk is low. The coefficient of variation figure is 0.77 which reflects how much volatility, or risk, is assumed in comparison to the amount of return expected from investments. The lower the ratio of the standard deviation to mean return, the better risk-return trade-off.

Value for Money: VERY GOOD

The subscription cost is £19 per month so with an ROI of 15% this means each 1% of ROI costs £1.25 which is good value.

Staking Levels: LOW

£0.10 per point to cover subscription cost
Based on this 15% ROI from 5 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10 points you’d need to be betting at £0.10 per point to cover the £19 subscription cost.
£1 per point to clear £100 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £1 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £50 a day.

Expectancy

1 MONTH: If you’d followed Lemonado for 1 month at any time since the service started there was a 86% chance you’d make a profit. You were 6 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any one month and your profit would have been 7 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 593 points profit versus an average loss of -83 points.

2 MONTH: Following for 2 months at any time since the service started there was a 85% chance you’d make a profit. You were 6 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any two months and your profit would have been 18 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 1041 points profit versus an average loss of -57 points.

3 MONTH: Every 3 month period since this service started has been profitable. If you’d joined and followed for 3 months you’d have made an average of 1278 points profit.

Consecutive Periods Total Periods Made Profit Made Loss %Profitable Avg.Period Profit Avg.Period Loss Expectancy Profit Factor
any 1 month 14 12 2 86% 593 -83 496 7
any 2 months 13 11 2 85% 1041 -57 872 18
any 3 months 12 12 0 100% 1278 0 1278 1278
any 4 months 11 11 0 100% 1706 0 1706 1706
any 5 months 10 10 0 100% 2109 0 2109 2109
any 6 months 9 9 0 100% 2478 0 2478 2478

You can find out more about Lemonado here

 

 

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Author: Micheal May