Here is my favorite prop bet for Game 6 of the 2022 NBA Finals.
Marcus Smart OVER 15.5 POINTS | -120 at DraftKings | -106 at Unibet
Last game of the NBA season? I hope and honestly think… not. But if it is, let’s finish it in style. And like how we were all year — with profit. Marcus Smart has been just as aggressive and involved offensively in these Finals, especially with Tatum and Brown struggling. Smart is averaging 16.4 PPG in the Finals, but that’s not the whole story. He had only two points in Game 2. And that’s unrepeatable. In the other four games, he is averaging 20.0 PPG and has had 18+ in all of them. So basically he has 17.3 PPG in his last 10 games against the Warriors, scoring 18+ in 6-of-7 games this year. And his stats see huge increases after loss. He’s not afraid to shoot even when things aren’t going well. Smart is averaging 21.8 PPG in the six games after a playoff loss, with 18+ points in every single one of them. This line actually opened at 16.5, and I can’t pass on it after it dropped to 15.5. I might even ladder him. Smart is +150 to score 18+ at DK. Remember, he’s done that in 6-of-6 games after a playoff loss and 6-of-7 times against the Warriors this year. He’s +230 to hit 20 points at FD and he’s +425 to top 22.5 points at Bet365. I will play them all, obviously while lowering the stake.
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