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40% ROI and low staking levels •theBetInvestor

Overview:

Professional Horse racing Tipster since 27th August 2020.

On-the-money-tips has produced an incredible 42% ROI with 13 profitable months from 20 total months tipping – a 65% success rate.

On average there are 3 tips per day typically advised at an average 10 points which means, at £1 per point, you’d be betting around £30 per day.

Skill Factor: VERY HIGH

On-the-money-tips‘s statistical p-value is 0.0000 ( to 4 decimal places ). This indicates there’s a 0% probability these results could be achieved by pure chance.This figure is extremely low. There is very strong evidence of skill being applied here.

Losing Streaks: VERY LONG

The all-time tip Win Rate has been 17% over 20 months and 1611 tips which gives a very high ELLR (Estimated Longest Losing Run) figure of 40 – you should be prepared for 40 losing tips in a row.

Based on this you should anticipate encountering the following longest losing runs:

  • Over the next month: At least one run of 24 losing tips.
  • Over the next 3 months: At least one run of 30 losing tips.
  • Over the next 6 months: At least one run of 33 losing tips.

Risk: LOW

On-the-money-tips‘s performance is stable which means risk is low. The coefficient of variation figure is 1.26 which reflects how much volatility, or risk, is assumed in comparison to the amount of return expected from investments. The lower the ratio of the standard deviation to mean return, the better risk-return trade-off.

Value for Money: VERY GOOD

The subscription cost is £19 per month so with an ROI of 42% this means each 1% of ROI costs £0.46 which is great value.

Staking Levels: LOW

£0.10 per point to cover subscription cost
Based on this 42% ROI from 3 tips a day at the average advised stakes of 10 points you’d need to be betting at £0.10 per point to cover the £19 subscription cost.
£0.40 per point to clear £100 profit
To make somewhere in the region of £100 clear profit a month, over and above the subscription cost, the staking levels would need to be around £0.40 per point. At this level you’d be betting in the region of £15 a day.

Expectancy

1 MONTH: If you’d followed On-the-money-tips for 1 month at any time since the service started there was a 65% chance you’d make a profit. You were 2 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any one month and your profit would have been 2 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 1081 points profit versus an average loss of -649 points.

2 MONTH: Following for 2 months at any time since the service started there was a 79% chance you’d make a profit. You were 4 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any two months and your profit would have been 1 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 1509 points profit versus an average loss of -1076 points.

3 MONTH: If you’d followed for 3 months at any time since the service started there was a 83% chance you’d make a profit. You were 5 times more likely to have made money than lost money in any 3 months and your profit would have been 5 times more than the amount you might have lost – an average of 1844 points profit versus an average loss of -393 points.

Consecutive Periods Total Periods Made Profit Made Loss %Profitable Avg.Period Profit Avg.Period Loss Expectancy Profit Factor
any 1 month 20 13 7 65% 1081 -649 475 1
any 2 months 19 15 4 79% 1509 -1076 964 1
any 3 months 18 15 3 83% 1844 -393 1471 4
any 4 months 17 15 2 88% 1958 -141 1711 13
any 5 months 16 16 0 100% 2068 0 2068 2068
any 6 months 15 15 0 100% 2547 0 2547 2547

You can find out more about On-the-money-tips here

 

 

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Author: Micheal May